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Polling
November 3, 2016
Alex Shephard
“Shy white voters” won’t be Trump’s salvation.
October 25, 2016
Alex Shephard
Does Donald Trump have any path to victory?
October 24, 2016
Alex Shephard
No, Donald Trump is not losing because of “oversampling.”
July 25, 2016
Alex Shephard
Donald Trump is leading Hillary Clinton in a bunch of post-RNC polls. Time to panic?
July 13, 2016
Alex Shephard
Outlier polls are (probably) going to get a ton of coverage over the next four months.
June 29, 2016
Saif Alnuweiri
Europeans have even less confidence in Donald Trump’s judgment than Americans.
June 17, 2016
Alex Shephard
Donald Trump is doing so badly he’s tweeting out polls that show him only two points behind.
March 24, 2016
Adam Peck
Nate Silver’s electoral map prediction is the stuff of nightmares for the GOP.
January 29, 2016
Adam Peck
Bernie Sanders supporters are the poll truthers of 2016.
October 16, 2014
Sam Wang
No, Republicans Aren't Guaranteed to Win the Senate. Here's Why.
July 2, 2014
Danny Vinik
Don't Put Much Stock in That Poll Calling Obama the Worst President
Bush was the "worst," too
June 11, 2014
Danny Vinik
Why Didn't the Data Geeks Predict Eric Cantor's Defeat?
May 8, 2014
Tom Bonier
538 Is All Wrong About My Turnout Projections
Conventional outlets don't get to look at voter files. I do.
November 8, 2013
Nate Cohn
How To Read PPP's Polls
October 14, 2013
Nate Cohn
Gerrymandering Still Isn't to Blame for the Shutdown
September 19, 2013
Nate Cohn
PPP's Results Don't Excuse Its Bad Methodology
August 22, 2013
Nate Cohn
Rasmussen Reports Loses Scott Rasmussen, But the Inaccurate Polls Will Remain
May 31, 2013
Nate Cohn
Baitless Switch
Rhode Island Gov. Lincoln Chafee is a Democrat now. That doesn't mean his re-election is assured.
May 15, 2013
Nate Cohn
Black Turnout in 2012 Might Not Have Been Historic
The inherent flaws of the Census' population survey
May 8, 2013
Nate Cohn
The New Census Data That Should Terrify Republicans
Obama's coalition may only grow stronger after he leaves office

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