Bill Kristol is always wrong and never right—especially so when it comes to making predictions about political contests. In late 2006, he said Obama didn’t have a chance. He said Mike Huckabee could be the Republican nominee in 2008 and Rudy Giuliani would win in 2012. Kristol has also made bad predictions about Sarah Palin, Ted Stevens, Cory Booker, Iraq, LGBT rights, and pretty much everything else.
This election season, Kristol has called #PeakTrump eleven times since even richer Littlefinger entered the race in June.
In fact, I'll risk further and repeated ridicule, and say: We have seen #PeakTrump!
— Bill Kristol (@BillKristol) January 29, 2016
#PeakTrump. "Support for Trump fell sharply on the one night that voters were surveyed following those comments."http://t.co/PWDsqDbb3a
— Bill Kristol (@BillKristol) July 20, 2015
OK, I was early with my Peak Trump call. But would certainly short Trump at current levels.
— Bill Kristol (@BillKristol) August 3, 2015
And probably be wiped out in a short squeeze!
Despite coming in second last night, there’s no real evidence that we’ve seen #PeakTrump. But that doesn’t mean Kristol shouldn’t celebrate! He correctly predicted the results of last night’s caucus and even came pretty close on the percentages:
FWIW, me on 1/25:
— Bill Kristol (@BillKristol) February 2, 2016
WAAAYYY out on a limb! My prediction, a week out, of IA results: Cruz 30, Trump 25, Rubio 22, no other candidate above 6%.
Bill Kristol will make another correct prediction in 2019.